Publications

Artificial intelligence for modelling infectious disease epidemics.
Kraemer M, Tsui J, Chang S, Lytras S, Khurana M, Vanderslott S, Bajaj S, Scheidwasser N, Curran-Sebastian J, Semenova E, Zhang M, Unwin H, Watson O, Mills C, Dasgupta A, Ferretti L, Scarpino S, Koua E, Morgan O, Tegally H, Paquet U, Moutsianas L, Fraser C, Ferguson N, Topol E, Duchêne D, Stadler T, Kingori P, Parker M, Dominici F, Shadbolt N, Suchard M, Ratmann O, Flaxman S, Holmes E, Gomez-Rodriguez M, Schölkopf B, Donnelly C, Pybus O, Cauchemez S, Bhatt S, Nature (2025), 638(8051):623-635. doi: 10.1038/s41586-024-08564-w.:.

Spatiotemporal disease suitability prediction for Oropouche virus and the role of vectors across the Americas.
Poongavanan J, Dunaiski M, D’or G, Kraemer M, Giovanetti M, Lim A, Brady O, Baxter C, Fonseca V, Alcantara L, de Oliveira T, Tegally H, medRxiv (2025), doi: 10.1101/2025.02.28.25323068.:.

Characterization of SARS-CoV-2 intrahost genetic evolution in vaccinated and non-vaccinated patients from the Kenyan population.
Lugano D, Mwangi K, Mware B, Kibet G, Osiany S, Kiritu E, Dobi P, Muli C, Njeru R, de Oliveira T, Njenga M, Routh A, Oyola S, medRxiv (2025), doi: 10.1101/2025.03.03.25323296.:.

Unveiling novel features and phylogenomic assessment of indigenous Priestia megaterium AB-S79 using comparative genomics.
Adeniji A, Chukwuneme C, Conceição E, Ayangbenro A, Wilkinson E, Maasdorp E, de Oliveira T, Babalola O, Microbiology Spectrum (2025), doi: 10.1128/spectrum.01466-24.:.

Genomic Characterization of Circulating Dengue Virus, Ethiopia, 2022–2023.
Abera A, Tegally H, Tasew G, Wilkinson E, Ali A, Regasa F, Bitew M, Belachew M, Chabuka L, Mwanyika G, Tshiabuila D, Giandhari J, Pillay S, Poogavanan J, Moir M, Kraemer M, Khan K, Huber C, Tollera G, de Wit T, Baxter C, Lessells R, Wolday D, Beyene D, de Oliveira T, , Emerging Infectious Diseases (2025), 31(3):. doi: 10.3201/eid3103.240996.:.

Infectious diseases in a warming world: A call for action.
Moir M, Baxter C, Tegally H, de Oliveira T, South African Journal of Science (2025), 121(3/4):. doi: 10.17159/sajs.2025/20722.:.

Travel-associated international spread of Oropouche virus beyond the Amazon.
de Melo Iani F, Pereira F, de Oliveira E, Rodrigues J, Machado M, Fonseca V, Adelino T, Guimarães N, Tomé L, Gómez M, Nardy V, Ribeiro A, Rosewell A, Ferreira ?, Silva de Mello A, Fernandes B, de Albuquerque C, dos Santos Pereira D, Pimentel E, Lima F, Silva F, de Carvalho Pereira G, Tegally H, Almeida J, Moreno K, Vasconcelos K, Santos L, Silva L, Frutuoso L, Lamounier L, Costa M, de Oliveira M, dos Anjos M, Ciccozzi M, Lima M, Pereira M, Rocha M, de Souza da Silva P, Rabinowitz P, de Almeida P, Lessells R, Gazzinelli R, da Cunha R, Gonçalves S, dos Santos S, de Alcântara Belettini S, Pedroso S, Araújo S, da Silva S, Croda J, Maciel E, Van Voorhis W, Martin D, Holmes E, de Oliveira T, Lourenço J, Alcantara L, Giovanetti M, Journal of Travel Medicine (2025), doi: 10.1093/jtm/taaf018.:.

Craft: A Machine Learning Approach to Dengue Subtyping.
van Zyl D, Dunaiski M, Tegally H, Baxter C, , de Oliveira T, Xavier J, (2025), doi: 10.1101/2025.02.10.637410.:.

Identifying genomic surveillance gaps in Africa for the global public health response to West Nile Virus.
Moir M, Sitharam N, Hofstra M, Dor G, Mwanyika G, Ramphal Y, Reichmuth M, James S, Gifford R, Wilkinson E, Tshiabuila D, Preiser W, Konou A, Bitew M, Onoja B, Paganotti G, Abera A, Maror J, Kayiwa J, Abuelmaali S, Lusamaki E, , Venter M, Burt F, Baxter C, Lessells R, de Oliveira T, Tegally H, (2025), doi: 10.1101/2024.12.18.629123.:.

Hybrid versus vaccine immunity of mRNA-1273 among people living with HIV in East and Southern Africa: a prospective cohort analysis from the multicentre CoVPN 3008 (Ubuntu) study.
Garrett N, Tapley A, Hudson A, Dadabhai S, Zhang B, Mgodi N, Andriesen J, Takalani A, Fisher L, Kee J, Magaret C, Villaran M, Hural J, Andersen-Nissen E, Ferarri G, Miner M, Le Roux B, Wilkinson E, Lessells R, de Oliveira T, Odhiambo J, Shah P, Polakowski L, Yacovone M, Samandari T, Chirenje Z, Elyanu P, Makhema J, Kamuti E, Nuwagaba-Biribonwoha H, Badal-Faesen S, Brumskine W, Coetzer S, Dawson R, Delany-Moretlwe S, Diacon A, Fry S, Gill K, Ebrahim Hoosain Z, Hosseinipour M, Inambao M, Innes C, Innes S, Kalonji D, Kasaro M, Kassim P, Kayange N, Kilembe W, Laher F, Malahleha M, Maluleke V, Mboya G, McHarry K, Mitha E, Mngadi K, Mda P, Moloantoa T, Mutuluuza C, Naicker N, Naicker V, Nana A, Nanvubya A, Nchabeleng M, Otieno W, Potgieter E, Potloane D, Punt Z, Said J, Singh Y, Tayob M, Vahed Y, Wabwire D, McElrath M, Kublin J, Bekker L, Gilbert P, Corey L, Gray G, Huang Y, Kotze P, Badal-Faesen S, Baepanye K, Bailey V, Baloyi-Oseh K, Booley M, Botha J, Brown Y, Brown V, Bunts L, Coetzer S, Cohen M, Collie S, Dawson R, Deb P, El Sahly H, El-Khorazaty J, Engelbrecht A, Gildea M, Govender D, Hanke J, Harris J, Hendricks S, Hopkinson N, Howell H, Ketter N, Khuto K, Laher Omar F, Katsidzira L, Linton K, Ludwig J, Mabilane B, Malefo M, Mamushiana N, Margineantu D, May J, Mayat F, Molitor C, Naidoo Y, Nebergall M, Nguyen A, Nikles S, Noronha B, Peda M, Phiri T, Pillay S, Pillay S, Proulx-Burns L, Rinn L, Sanders L, Sopher C, Sripathy S, Stirewalt M, Tegally H, Thiebaud S, Toledano A, Van Wyk S, Whitby S, Wilcox S, Wilkinson E, Wilvich H, Wiysonge C, Xaba N, Xulu N, eClinicalMedicine (2025), 80():103054. doi: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.103054.:.

Dynamics and ecology of a multi-stage expansion of Oropouche virus in Brazil.
Tegally H, Dellicour S, Poongavanan J, Mavian C, Dor G, Fonseca V, Tagliamonte M, Dunaiski M, Moir M, Wilkinson E, de Albuquerque C, Frutuoso L, , Holmes E, Baxter C, Lessells R, Kraemer M, Lourenço J, Alcantara L, de Oliveira T, Giovanetti M, (2024), doi: 10.1101/2024.10.29.24316328.:.

Dengue virus importation risks in Africa: a modelling study.
Poongavanan J, Lourenço J, Tsui J, Colizza V, Ramphal Y, Baxter C, Kraemer M, Dunaiski M, de Oliveira T, Tegally H, The Lancet Planetary Health (2024), 8(12):e1043-e1054. doi: 10.1016/s2542-5196(24)00272-9.:.

Using HIV and Hepatitis C Molecular Epidemiology to Investigate Assisted Partner Services Recruitment Among People Who Inject Drugs in Kenya.
Kingston H, Chohan B, Mbogo L, Bukusi D, Monroe-Wise A, Sambai B, Omballa V, Tram K, Guthrie B, Giandhari J, Masyuko S, Bosire R, Sinkele W, de Oliveira T, Scott J, Farquhar C, Herbeck J, AIDS Research and Human Retroviruses (2024), doi: 10.1089/aid.2024.0036.:.

SARS-CoV-2 Infections in a Triad of Primary School Learners (Grades 1-7), Their Parents, and Teachers in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: Protocol for a Cross-Sectional and Nested Case-Cohort Study.
Dassaye R, Chetty T, Daniels B, Gaffoor Z, Spooner E, Ramraj T, Mthethwa N, Nsibande D, Pillay S, Bhana A, Magasana V, Reddy T, Mohlabi K, Moore P, Burgers W, de Oliveira T, Msomi N, Goga A, JMIR Research Protocols (2024), 13():e52713. doi: 10.2196/52713.:.

“The COVID-19 pandemic in BRICS: Milestones, interventions, and molecular epidemiology”.
van Wyk S, Moir M, Banerjee A, Bazykin G, Biswas N, Sitharam N, Das S, Ma W, Maitra A, Mazumder A, Karim W, Lamarca A, Li M, Nabieva E, Tegally H, San J, Vasconcelos A, Xavier J, Wilkinson E, de Oliveira T, PLOS Global Public Health (2024), 4(12):e0003023. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0003023.:.

Alignment-Free Viral Sequence Classification at Scale.
van Zyl D, Dunaiski M, Tegally H, Baxter C, , de Oliveira T, Xavier J, (2024), doi: 10.1101/2024.12.10.627186.:.

Emergence of Omicron FN.1 a descendent of BQ.1.1 in Botswana.
Choga W, Gustani-Buss E, Tegally H, Maruapula D, Yu X, Moir M, Zuze B, James S, Ndlovu N, Seru K, Motshosi P, Blenkinsop A, Gobe I, Baxter C, Manasa J, Lockman S, Shapiro R, Makhema J, Wilkinson E, Blackard J, Lemey P, Lessells R, Martin D, de Oliveira T, Gaseitsiwe S, Moyo S, Virus Evolution (2024), 10(1):. doi: 10.1093/ve/veae095.:.

North–south pathways, emerging variants, and high climate suitability characterize the recent spread of dengue virus serotypes 2 and 3 in the Dominican Republic.
Miguel I, Feliz E, Agramonte R, Martinez P, Vergara C, Imbert Y, De la Cruz L, de Castro N, Cedano O, De la Paz Y, Fonseca V, Santiago G, Muñoz-Jordán J, Peguero A, Paulino-Ramírez R, Grubaugh N, de Filippis A, Alcantara L, Rico J, Lourenço J, Franco L, Giovanetti M, BMC Infectious Diseases (2024), 24(1):. doi: 10.1186/s12879-024-09658-6.:.

Genomics-based timely detection of dengue virus type I genotypes I and V in Uruguay.
Morel N, Giovanetti M, Fonseca V, Burgueño A, Lima M, Castro E, Guimarães N, Iani F, Bormida V, Cortinas M, Ramas V, Coppola L, Bento A, Rosewell A, Franco L, Mendez Rico J, Lourenço J, Junior Alcantara L, Chiparelli H, Heliyon (2024), 10(22):e39246. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e39246.:.

Unraveling the Complexity of Chikungunya Virus Infection Immunological and Genetic Insights in Acute and Chronic Patients.
Fritsch H, Giovanetti M, Clemente L, da Rocha Fernandes G, Fonseca V, de Lima M, Falcão M, de Jesus N, de Cerqueira E, Venâncio da Cunha R, de Oliveira Francisco M, de Siqueira I, de Oliveira C, Xavier J, Ferreira J, Queiroz F, Smith E, Tisoncik-Go J, Van Voorhis W, Rabinowitz P, Wasserheit J, Gale M, de Filippis A, Alcantara L, Genes (2024), 15(11):1365. doi: 10.3390/genes15111365.:.